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American unease with Donald Trump’s increasingly confrontational approach to Canada may run deeper than the public debate suggests. Canadian MPs were told that people inside the United States have privately expressed concern about steps taken by the Trump administration, even as relatively few have been prepared to criticize the president openly.
The disclosure comes at an especially sensitive moment. Canada-U.S. trade negotiations have broken down, tariffs are disrupting established commercial relationships, Trump says he is in no hurry to restart talks, and the future of CUSMA has become less certain. Yet Canadian diplomats say that beneath the political confrontation, substantial support for the bilateral relationship remains intact across the United States.
What MPs Were Actually Told
U.S. Officials Privately Raise Concerns About Trump’s Canada Attacks, MPs Hear
- What MPs Were Actually Told
- The Word “Privately” May Be the Most Important Part
- Some American Opposition Is Already Out in the Open
- Canada Has Used This Playbook Before
- Carney’s Approach Has Been Quieter, but the Stakes Have Grown
- The Economic Relationship Is Too Large to Treat as Political Theatre
- State, Provincial and Military Relationships Keep Operating
- Trump Is Signalling That He Feels Little Urgency
- The Next CUSMA Fight Makes Those Private Conversations More Important
The most important part of the testimony was not simply that Americans disagree with Trump. It was that Canadian diplomats are hearing considerably more concern in private than Americans are necessarily expressing publicly. Global Affairs Canada official Niall Cronin told the House of Commons foreign affairs committee that Canada’s diplomatic network continues to encounter broad support for the bilateral relationship, including recognition of the economic and security benefits that flow in both directions.
Cronin also said people have privately raised concerns about some of the Trump administration’s actions, while noting that relatively few are willing to make those criticisms publicly. That distinction matters. His remarks did not identify the Americans involved, disclose how many had spoken privately, or establish that senior members of Trump’s own administration were organizing against his policies. The evidence instead points to a wider phenomenon: Canadian officials are finding that the political rhetoric coming from Washington does not necessarily reflect all of the views being expressed behind closed doors by American contacts.
The Word “Privately” May Be the Most Important Part
Publicly opposing a president remains very different from expressing unease during a private conversation with a diplomat. That is particularly true when trade, federal contracts, party politics or future access to the administration could be at stake. An American business leader dependent on federal policy, a Republican politician facing a primary electorate or a government official serving under Trump may have strong incentives to keep disagreements quiet even when Canadian tariffs or deteriorating relations create problems at home.
That makes Cronin’s description noteworthy but also difficult to quantify. Private diplomatic conversations are, by nature, incomplete indicators of political pressure. They can reveal discomfort without necessarily producing a policy change. Canada therefore cannot assume that sympathetic conversations will translate into softer tariffs or a rapid return to negotiations. Still, Ottawa appears to see value in keeping those channels active. If American opposition to the confrontation grows because of higher costs, disrupted supply chains or political pressure in individual states, those private conversations could become more significant.
Some American Opposition Is Already Out in the Open
Not every American critic has stayed quiet. Democratic senators representing states with significant Canadian trade relationships publicly condemned Trump’s trade campaign in September, arguing that tariffs on Canadian products would hurt businesses, workers and consumers in their own states. Senators including Jeanne Shaheen, Patty Murray, Amy Klobuchar and Elissa Slotkin emphasized that Canada remains both a major customer for American products and a long-standing defence partner.
The political picture is not purely partisan either. Reuters reported in September that some Republicans in states closely tied to Canadian commerce were looking for ways to distance themselves from parts of Trump’s tariff strategy as the midterm elections approached. Maine Senator Susan Collins, for example, has criticized tariffs and supported exemptions for affected industries. Other Republicans remain firmly aligned with Trump. That split helps explain why Canadian diplomats continue speaking with governors, legislators, business organizations and other regional figures rather than treating Washington as a single political bloc. The White House may set trade policy, but the domestic consequences are distributed across dozens of states and industries.
Canada Has Used This Playbook Before
Reaching around the White House is not a new Canadian strategy. During the first Trump presidency and the renegotiation of NAFTA, Ottawa built what became known as a “Team Canada” approach. Federal ministers, premiers, parliamentarians, business representatives and diplomats made repeated trips across the United States to explain how Canadian trade supported American workers and companies. The effort deliberately targeted Congress, governors, local officials and industry groups instead of relying exclusively on negotiations with the administration.
The scale became substantial. The federal government reported in 2018 that Team Canada representatives had made more than 300 visits to the United States since January 2016 and more than 500 individual contacts with U.S. officials, including hundreds of members of Congress and dozens of governors and lieutenant governors. The circumstances in 2026 are different, but Cronin’s testimony shows that the underlying logic survives. Canada still wants Americans outside the president’s immediate circle to understand what is at stake when the bilateral relationship deteriorates.
Carney’s Approach Has Been Quieter, but the Stakes Have Grown
Prime Minister Mark Carney has not simply recreated the highly visible public-relations campaign used during the first Trump administration. His government has continued extensive U.S. outreach, but much of the current effort has taken place through direct negotiations, diplomatic networks and consultations with provincial and industry leaders. That approach was tested severely in August when Canada-U.S. trade negotiations fell apart after appearing close to an agreement.
Carney said last-minute American demands included issues affecting Canada’s ability to make independent trade decisions as well as disagreements surrounding automobiles. The collapse was followed by 50 per cent U.S. tariffs on a range of Canadian products and Canadian retaliation. Ottawa has said it remains prepared to return to negotiations, but there has been no quick reconciliation. The episode gives Cronin’s testimony greater importance. If formal negotiations remain frozen, informal political relationships in Congress, state governments and American industry become one of the few ways Canada can continue trying to influence the environment surrounding Trump’s decisions.
The Economic Relationship Is Too Large to Treat as Political Theatre
The political language surrounding the dispute can sometimes make Canada and the United States sound like distant competitors. The trade numbers show something very different. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative estimates that American goods and services trade with Canada totalled approximately US$872.3 billion in 2025. Canada remained one of the United States’ biggest markets, while industries including automobiles, machinery, agriculture and energy continued to depend heavily on cross-border supply chains.
Canada is still more exposed to the relationship. Statistics Canada reported that 71.7 per cent of Canadian merchandise exports went to the United States in 2025, although that was down from 75.9 per cent a year earlier as Canadian exports to other markets increased sharply. That imbalance helps explain why Ottawa is simultaneously defending access to the U.S. market and trying to diversify. It also explains why private American concern matters. Tariffs do not stop at the border: integrated companies can encounter higher input costs, delayed investment and weaker demand on both sides whenever governments make cross-border commerce more difficult.
State, Provincial and Military Relationships Keep Operating
One reason Canadian officials remain relatively confident in the underlying relationship is that Canada-U.S. ties extend far beyond presidential politics. Cronin pointed MPs toward ongoing interactions involving British Columbia and neighbouring Alaska and Washington state as examples of relationships that remain regular and constructive despite the confrontation at the federal level. Global Affairs Canada says nearly C$3.6 billion worth of goods and services crossed the Canada-U.S. border every day in 2024, illustrating how many local economies have practical reasons to keep communication functioning.
Security cooperation is even harder to separate. Canada and the United States jointly operate NORAD, a binational command dating to 1958 that monitors and defends North American airspace and provides maritime warning. Canadian and American forces continue conducting joint exercises, including the 2026 AMALGAM DART exercise involving forces across Canadian, Alaskan and continental U.S. NORAD regions. Political disputes can damage trust, but the institutional relationship includes military, border, energy and regional systems that cannot simply be switched off whenever Ottawa and Washington disagree.
Trump Is Signalling That He Feels Little Urgency
The contrast between those working-level relationships and Trump’s public posture could hardly be clearer. Asked on October 5 whether negotiations with Canada would resume before the November 4 U.S. midterm elections, Trump said he did not know and added that he was “in no rush.” He accused Canada of behaving badly toward the United States and repeated claims that the country had treated the U.S. unfairly on tariffs.
Those remarks suggest that private expressions of concern have not, at least so far, pushed Trump toward an obvious public change of course. The electoral calendar may also encourage both sides to be cautious. U.S. politicians are campaigning in states where affordability, manufacturing employment, agriculture and trade can all become politically sensitive. Carney, meanwhile, said recently that Canada did not intend to apply additional pressure simply because the U.S. midterms were approaching. For Ottawa, the calculation appears to be that escalation immediately before an election could strengthen the political forces it is trying to persuade.
The Next CUSMA Fight Makes Those Private Conversations More Important
The dispute now sits inside an even larger argument over North American trade. At the July 1, 2026 joint review of CUSMA, the United States declined to extend the agreement for another 16-year term in its existing form. That did not terminate CUSMA: the agreement remains in force and can continue until 2036. However, failure to agree on an extension means the three countries are now required to conduct annual reviews until all sides agree to a new extension or the agreement ultimately expires.
Washington has already opened another public consultation for the 2027 review, seeking comments on CUSMA’s operation. That makes Canadian diplomacy inside the United States unusually consequential. Governors, members of Congress, manufacturers, farmers, unions and other businesses will have opportunities to influence the political debate surrounding the agreement. Private American concern about Trump’s handling of Canada therefore matters less as evidence of an imminent rebellion and more as evidence that the president’s approach is not universally accepted. Canada’s challenge will be turning that underlying support for the relationship into enough political pressure to affect what Washington ultimately does.
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